Possible Impact of Climate Change on Neglected Tropical Diseases

Partners

Evidence for Development (EfD)

Funders

Wilkie Calvert co-supported PhD studentships

Timescale

2022-2028

Project Team

Will Shields, PhD Candidate, Walker Institute

Supervisors: Prof. Rosalind Cornforth, Walker Institute; Dr Celia Petty, Walker Institute; Prof. Ted Shepherd, University of Reading; Ian Wilson, Deloitte;

Background

Neglected Tropical Diseases are often spread by biological vectors such as black flies or snails and their fluke parasites. Climate Change is changing the areas in which these animals can survive and thrive, creating the possibility for new epidemics of these debilitating and potentially fatal diseases in areas which have not been exposed before and thus are unprepared.

Our Research

In this project we aim to use causal assessments of the lifecycle of these animals, linked to granular climate forecasts to assess how their zones of prevalence are likely to evolve over the coming century.

Our Research

In this project we aim to use causal assessments of the lifecycle of these animals, linked to granular climate forecasts to assess how their zones of prevalence are likely to evolve over the coming century.

Our Impact

The project has two key goals:

  1. to provide an early warning indicator to possibly affected regions, and
  2. to provide a methodology which others can utilise to assess the specific risks of particular locations.